Predicting the rest of the season

I should have posted predictions before the season started, but I didn't, so I'll go ahead and do it now. I'm giving a percentage chance (based mostly off the top of my head) of the team winning each game and simply adding them up to come up with a total. Obviously I'll add in their 1-1 record to that to come up with a final prediction. And for the record, I'd have probably given them about a 40% chance of victory against both the Packers at Green Bay and the Steelers, so I'd have picked them to be about 1-1 right now, with it being more likely that they'd end up 0-2 than 2-0.

@ Seattle - 60%
Lions - 70%
@ Falcons - 30%
@ Bengals - 50%
Browns - 60%
Cardinals - 50%
@ 49ers - 40%
Eagles - 40%
@ Vikings - 30%
Rams - 70%
Packers - 60%
@ Ravens - 40%
Vikings - 40%
@ Lions - 60%

I wouldn't give the Bears that good of a chance to beat the Seahawks in Seattle, except that it looks like Hasselbeck probably won't play. I feel like I might be a little high on the Bears' odds against the Cardinals, too. The Bears may have a better shot than I'm giving them credit for against the Vikings, especially at home, but right now the Vikings seem, to me, like one of the best teams in the league. And I think I might be overestimating the Falcons a little bit, too - they're a good team, but I'm not sure they're quite as good as I'm giving them credit for here.

So, adding all that up, it's 7.0 wins over the remainder of the season for a final record of 8-8. If you used my initial 40% shot against the Packers and Steelers, I'd have predicted 7.8-8.2. That sounds about right to me. I think the Bears are a decent team and should be around 8-8, and I wouldn't be surprised if they won more or less than that, but I'd have bet the under if you forced me to.

Still, even though that prediction is kind of pessimistic, I'm hopeful, too. All the Bears need to do is steal a game or two against the Vikings, Falcons, Eagles or Ravens and win the games they should win to have a good shot at the playoffs. I've got six games I think they "should" win, although I'm not hugely confident they will win all of them. But if they do, that's seven wins. There are eight games I think are tossups or probable losses - if the Bears go 3-5 in those games, that's ten wins and a good shot at the playoffs.

Just as I thought it couldn't get any worse.....

Brian Urlacher will have wrist surgery this morning.
In response, and I think I speak for both Bears writers here at ANNB, we say:

1. FUUUUUUUUUUUUUCKKKK!!!!



and 2.

Edit: Urlacher Probably done for season. The Bears are superfucked.

FUCK, FUCK-FUCKITY-SHIT-BALLS-COCKSHIT-MOTHERFUCKING-GODAMMIT-BULLSHIT-BALLS-CUNT-ASS!!!

This sucks balls.

Everyone take a deep breath it was one game. One horrible, sloppy game.

Both teams played really badly, but the Packers came out on top. Pack 1-0, Bears 0-1

There isn't really much else to say before the Jump so lets get right to it.

Bears- Packers Game Thread

Let me just do a Recap before we get this shindig started.
Vikes won, so the early battle to keep up with the the Minnesota Burts begins.
The Lions predictably lost and Badly. Stafford did not look good.
And the Niners pull off an upset. Very impressive display by their defense as well as Shaun Hill. Cheers to Ryno and DJ.


So, in the big Sunday night game it's Bears vs. Packers. The old NFC rivals. No two teams in the NFL have played each other more times. Cutler vs. Rogers. Bears renewed defense vs. Packers new 3-4 defense. It's gonna be a fucking blast. Get excited!!!

This might just blow some Bears fans minds

It certainly did for me.
http://views.washingtonpost.com/theleague/smarterstats/2009/09/bart-scott-tackles-stops-defeats.html
Check out where one Danielle Manning is on the list of safeties.

Lovie's "Most Talented Team" and his future in Chicago

David Haugh has declared that it's put up or shut up time for Lovie Smith, with the 2009 Bears to be his most talented team ever.